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Hazard and risk assessments for induced seismicity in Groningen

机译:格罗宁根诱发地震活动的危险和风险评估

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摘要

Earthquakes associated with gas production have been recorded in the northern part of the Netherlands since 1986. The Huizinge earthquake of 16 August 2012, the strongest so far with a magnitude of M L = 3.6, prompted reassessment of the seismicity induced by production from the Groningen gas field. An international research programme was initiated, with the participation of many Dutch and international universities, knowledge institutes and recognised experts. The prime aim of the programme was to assess the hazard and risk resulting from the induced seismicity. Classic probabilistic seismic hazard and risk assessment (PSHA) was implemented using a Monte Carlo method. The scope of the research programme extended from the cause (production of gas from the underground reservoir) to the effects (risk to people and damage to buildings). Data acquisition through field measurements and laboratory experiments was a substantial element of the research programme. The existing geophone and accelerometer monitoring network was extended, a new network of accelerometers in building foundations was installed, geophones were placed at reservoir level in deep wells, GPS stations were installed and a gravity survey was conducted. Results of the probabilistic seismic hazard and risk assessment have been published in production plans submitted to the Minister of Economic Affairs, Winningsplan Groningen 2013 and 2016 and several intermediate updates. The studies and data acquisition further constrained the uncertainties and resulted in a reduction of the initially assessed hazard and risk.
机译:自1986年以来,荷兰北部地区就发生了与天然气生产相关的地震。2012年8月16日的会津地震是迄今为止最强烈​​的ML = 3.6级地震,促使人们重新评估了格罗宁根天然气生产引起的地震活动性。领域。启动了一项国际研究计划,许多荷兰和国际大学,知识机构和知名专家参加了该计划。该计划的主要目的是评估由诱发地震引起的危害和风险。经典概率地震危险性和风险评估(PSHA)是使用蒙特卡洛方法进行的。研究计划的范围从原因(地下储层中的天然气产生)扩展到影响(对人的危险和建筑物的破坏)。通过现场测量和实验室实验获得的数据是该研究计划的重要组成部分。扩展了现有的地震检波器和加速度计监控网络,在建筑物基础中安装了新的加速度计网络,将地震检波器放置在深井的水库层中,安装了GPS站并进行了重力测量。概率地震危害和风险评估的结果已发布在提交给经济部部长的生产计划中,格罗宁根(Winningsplan)格罗宁根(Groningen)2013年和2016年,以及一些中间更新。研究和数据获取进一步限制了不确定性,并减少了最初评估的危害和风险。

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